According to SPE “Mid-Term EU Solar Market Outlook for 2025”, the EU’s new solar PV installations in 2025 are projected to reach 64.2 GW, a slight decline from 65.1 GW in 2024.
This downturn is primarily attributed to a slowdown in the residential rooftop PV sector—traditional strongholds such as the Netherlands, Austria, and the Czech Republic have seen project delays, while Poland, Spain, and Germany have experienced residential installation declines exceeding 40%.
Two major challenges have emerged:
1 .Declining Electricity Prices: Post-2022 energy crisis, falling electricity prices have weakened the economic incentive for household PV installations.
2.Policy Gaps: After subsidy phase-outs in multiple countries, alternative incentive schemes have failed to keep pace.
In stark contrast to the residential market, ground-mounted solar projects now account for nearly half of the EU’s 2025 new installations, driven by auction mechanism reforms in Germany, France, and others. In 2024, a record 20 GW of ground-mounted projects were awarded, laying a solid foundation for future capacity.
However, the corporate power purchase agreement (CPPA) market, a key driver for utility-scale solar, is showing signs of fatigue:
-CPPA signings peaked at 7 GW in 2024 but plummeted 41% QoQ in Q2 2025.
-Despite cumulative signings surpassing 20 GW, falling electricity prices have dampened buyer interest in long-term contracts.
SPE Warning: Without sufficient policy support, this critical growth engine risks further deceleration.
In the short term, the EU is on track to meet REPowerEU’s 2025 target (402 GW cumulative capacity, DC side). However, at the current pace, the 2030 goal of 750 GW (DC) faces a 27 GW shortfall—requiring an annual average of 69.6 GW in new installations, a daunting challenge.
Facing this market inflection point, SPE has outlined three core recommendations:
1.Policy Reinforcement: Revitalize residential incentives and optimize auction mechanisms.
2.Energy Storage Acceleration: Address solar intermittency and enhance grid integration.
3.PPA Support: Stabilize electricity price expectations and rebuild corporate confidence in long-term procurement.
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Post time: Aug-20-2025